MX23RW : Monday, April 7 03:16:00| >> :600:1064980:1064980:
Northern Ireland national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 12, 2022 at 2pm UK
Windsor Park
Cyprus national football team

N. Ireland
2 - 2
Cyprus

McNair (71'), Evans (90+4')
Davis (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kakoullis (32', 51')
Laifis (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Northern Ireland 1-0 Cyprus

All things considered, this game is unlikely to feature many goals, both managers being fearful of what defeat could mean. Nevertheless, home advantage may prove key for Northern Ireland, and a solitary goal may be enough to buy Baraclough some time in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawCyprus
49.07% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03) 27.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.66% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.15% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36%24.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84%59.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04)41.41% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (0.036000000000001 0.04)77.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 49.07%
    Cyprus 23.66%
    Draw 27.27%
Northern IrelandDrawCyprus
1-0 @ 14.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 49.07%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 23.66%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Cyprus

Northern Ireland
Draw
Cyprus
Northern Ireland
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cyprus
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 5pm
League C2
Cyprus
0-0
N. Ireland

Kastanos (40')

Evans (53'), Donnelly (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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