We said: Liechtenstein 0-0 Gibraltar
After ending their lengthy winless streak last week, Liechtenstein have recovered from the humiliation they suffered last month against San Marino, and will feel confident again given Gibraltar's current away record.
The visitor's last away win ironically came at this venue in Vaduz though back in 2020 - 21 games ago - but that run could well go on unless they can end their current eight-game goalless run on the road.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.