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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar national football team
Nations League | League D
Sep 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Europa Park Stadion
Liechtenstein national football team

Gibraltar
2 - 2
Liechtenstein

Walker (8'), Scanlon (90+7')
Olivero (47'), Buchel (55'), Bartolo (57'), Kindle (67'), Netzer (90+3'), Coleing (90+4'), Annesley (90+3')
Chipolina (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Saglam (53'), Hasler (90+14' pen.)
Wieser (16'), Luque Notaro (25'), Cesar Ribas Vlahovic (45+3'), Olivero (55'), Torilla (59'), Britto (67'), Meier (82'), Sele (90'), Lo Russo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Gibraltar and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Liechtenstein

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: San Marino 1-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Gibraltar 1-0 Liechtenstein

 Neither side possess much quality, especially in attacking areas, but Gibraltar are fancied to take the win and move level on points with San Marino, strengthening their chances of returning to the third tier. Liechtenstein's defeat in Serravalle has almost put them out of contention already, with only four matches in the group, and a huge chance missed to claim three points, as this should be an even tougher assignment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
GibraltarDrawLiechtenstein
29.88% (-1.652 -1.65) 26.47% (-0.711 -0.71) 43.66% (2.372 2.37)
Both teams to score 50.93% (1.446 1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4% (2.182 2.18)53.6% (-2.174 -2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9% (1.811 1.81)75.1% (-1.802 -1.8)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)32.65% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.067 -0.07)69.19% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (2.215 2.22)24.39% (-2.206 -2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (3.024 3.02)58.8% (-3.014 -3.01)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 29.88%
    Liechtenstein 43.65%
    Draw 26.46%
GibraltarDrawLiechtenstein
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.804 -0.8)
2-1 @ 7.04% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.459 -0.46)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.88%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.703 -0.7)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.326 0.33)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.411 0.41)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.373 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.226 0.23)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.227 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.205 0.21)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 43.65%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein

Gibraltar
73.8%
Draw
17.9%
Liechtenstein
8.3%
84
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2022 6pm
International Friendly
Gibraltar
2-0
Liechtenstein
Chipolina (14'), Walker (21' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
League D
Gibraltar
1-1
Liechtenstein
Brandle (17' og.)
Sergeant (43')
Frick (44')
Frick (45'), Brandle (50'), Buchel (61'), Hasler (73')
Oct 10, 2020 5pm
League D
Liechtenstein
0-1
Gibraltar

Hofer (26'), Buchel (66'), Kuhne (71'), Frommelt (73')
Tjay De Barr (10')
John Annesley (21'), Tjay De Barr (23'), Torilla (45+3'), Mouelhi (65'), Goldwin (80'), Jolley (84'), Sergeant (90+6')
Mar 29, 2020 3pm
International Friendlies
Liechtenstein
P-P
Gibraltar
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Gibraltar
2-1
Liechtenstein
Cabrera (61'), Chipolina (66')
Casciaro (49'), Walker (60')
Salanovic (15')
Buchel (39'), Polverino (49'), Salanovic (51'), Kaufmann (87')
rhs 2.0
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