We said: Luxembourg 0-2 Turkey
Despite starting their Nations League campaign so excellently so far, Luxembourg are unlikely to pick up a third positive result when they welcome Turkey on Saturday.
The step up in quality compared to their recent opponents should prove too much for the hosts, and if Turkey can put in another comprehensive display, they should stroll to a comfortable victory here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Turkey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Turkey.
-0.05) 
0.08) 
