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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Lithuania national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
Turkey national football team

Lithuania
0 - 6
Turkey


Golubickas (9'), Klimavicius (46'), Sirvys (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sinik (2', 14'), Dursun (56' pen., 81'), Akgun (89'), Dervisoglu (90+1')
Calhanoglu (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Faroe Islands vs. Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Turkey

Last Six:
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Luxembourg vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Lithuania 0-3 Turkey

 Turkey will be confident of getting out of this Nations League group, particularly after Saturday's dominant win, and we see them dishing out another thrashing in Lithuania. The visitors' squad is far stronger than that of their hosts and they should not run into too many troubles on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
LithuaniaDrawTurkey
19.43% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.01% (-0.012 -0.01) 57.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.78% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (0.046999999999997 0.05)48.51% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.043000000000003 0.04)70.64% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (0.025999999999996 0.03)39.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (0.026 0.03)75.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)16.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)46.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 19.43%
    Turkey 57.55%
    Draw 23%
LithuaniaDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.43%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 6.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.82% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 57.55%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Turkey

Lithuania
12.0%
Draw
13.9%
Turkey
74.1%
108
rhs 2.0
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