Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 14, 2024 at 8pm UK

Allianz Arena

Germany
5 - 1
Scotland

Wirtz (10'), Musiala (19'), Havertz (45+1' pen.), Fullkrug (68'), Can (90+3')
Andrich (31'), Tah (62')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Rudiger (87' og.)
Ralston (48')
Porteous (44')

Scotland suffer huge Euro 2024 suspension blow for Switzerland clash

Scotland defender Ryan Porteous is set to miss his side's second Euro 2024 clash with Switzerland after being sent off in Friday's encounter with Germany.

Jun 14, 21:03

Germany's Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz celebrate the team's first goal on June 14, 2024 [IMAGO]

Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, Toni Kroos: Seven Germany records set after Scotland Euro 2024 drubbing

Sports Mole takes a look at the seven key team and player-related records set following Germany's thumping 5-1 win over Scotland in their opening Euro 2024 fixture.

Jun 15, 08:36

Scotland manager Steve Clarke on June 14, 2024.

Steve Clarke calls for unity after Scotland thrashed by Germany at Euro 2024

Steve Clarke wants Scotland's supporters to "keep the faith" despite the Tartan Army being thrashed 5-1 by Germany in Friday's Euro 2024 opener.

Jun 15, 11:06

Germany's Ilkay Gundogan reacts on June 14, 2024 [IMAGO]

Germany trio react to Euro 2024 Scotland thrashing as multiple records broken

Germany trio Julian Nagelsmann, Ilkay Gundogan and Niclas Fullkrug react to the Mannschaft's record-breaking 5-1 triumph over Scotland in their opening Euro 2024 contest.

Jun 15, 12:42

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Last Game: Germany 2-1 Greece
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Germany	0	0	0
3	Hungary	0	0	0
4	Switzerland	0	0	0

Scotland

All competitions

Last Game: Scotland 2-2 Finland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Germany	0	0	0
3	Hungary	0	0	0
4	Switzerland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
Germany	Draw	Scotland
62% ( -0.55)	19.83% ( 0.14)	18.17% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 59.28% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.82% (

0.07)

36.18% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.71% (

0.07)

58.29% (

-0.07)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.76% (

-0.12)

11.24% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.2% (

-0.27)

35.8% (

0.27)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79% (

0.49)

33.21% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18% (

0.53)

69.82% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Germany 62%

Scotland 18.17%

Draw 19.83%

Germany	Draw	Scotland
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 62%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.83%	1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.17%