Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2024 at 5pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Turkey
vs.
Portugal

Preview

Data Analysis

Predicted XI

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro 2024 clash between Turkey and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Turkey could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 Group F clash against Portugal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Georgia
Tuesday, June 18 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	1	2	3
2	Portugal	1	1	3
3	Czech Republic	1	-1	0
4	Georgia	1	-2	0

Portugal

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 18 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	1	2	3
2	Portugal	1	1	3
3	Czech Republic	1	-1	0
4	Georgia	1	-2	0

Spirits are high within both camps at present and they are sure to be motivated by the prospect of claiming the three points they need to punch their ticket to the knockout rounds with a game to spare. An entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be in store between two forward-thinking teams, who have also looked leaky at the back in recent matches, but Portugal boast the stronger side, on paper, and should ultimately find a way to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 55.61%. A win for Turkey has a probability of 22.92% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Turkey win is 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.66%).

Result
Turkey	Draw	Portugal
22.92% ( 0.61)	21.46% ( 0.12)	55.61% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.91% (

0.16)

37.08% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.72% (

0.17)

59.27% (

-0.17)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

0.6)

29.28% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

0.74)

65.25% (

-0.74)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.67% (

-0.17)

13.32% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.82% (

-0.34)

40.17% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Turkey 22.92%

Portugal 55.61%

Draw 21.46%

Turkey	Draw	Portugal
2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.92%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.79% Total : 55.61%