MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:18:00| >> :120:62311:62311:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Wales national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Millennium Stadium
Netherlands national football team

Wales
1 - 2
Netherlands

Norrington-Davies (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Koopmeiners (50'), Weghorst (90+4')
Teze (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Wales and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Wales.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Netherlands

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Wales 1-3 Netherlands

 The result of Wednesday's game should pale into insignificance for a much-changed Wales side after the weekend's exploits, but Page's second-string XI still performed admirably against Poland. Changes can also be expected on the visitors' end as they seek to end the Dragons' lengthy unbeaten run at home, but we can only picture Van Gaal's merciless side giving Wales a harsh reality check in Cardiff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
WalesDrawNetherlands
23.44% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 27.56% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 48.99% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 43.21% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.83% (0.045999999999999 0.05)61.17% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.88% (0.035 0.04)81.12% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.75% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)42.25% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.35% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)78.65% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.063000000000002 0.06)25.17% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.085000000000001 0.09)59.89% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Wales 23.44%
    Netherlands 48.97%
    Draw 27.55%
WalesDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.45% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 23.44%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 14.66%
0-2 @ 10.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 48.97%

How you voted: Wales vs Netherlands

Wales
16.3%
Draw
8.9%
Netherlands
74.8%
246
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2020 6.30pm
Netherlands
P-P
Wales
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
Wales
2-3
Netherlands
> Match Report
Jun 4, 2014 7.30pm
Netherlands
2-0
Wales
Robben (32'), Lens (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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