Wales2 - 1Austria
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Monday, June 6 at 9.15pm in Nations League
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Austria | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | France | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Croatia | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Austria had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wales in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wales.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Austria |
| 40.7% | 26.99% | 32.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
