MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 09:30:24| >> :600:2046918:2046918:
Wales national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Millennium Stadium
Belarus national football team

Wales
5 - 1
Belarus

Ramsey (3', 50' pen.), Williams (20'), Davies (77'), Roberts (89')
Ampadu (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kontsevoy (87')
Zolotov (25'), Antsilevski (79'), Ebong (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Wales and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
WalesDrawBelarus
60.05%24.63%15.32%
Both teams to score 39.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.85%60.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.65%80.35%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80%20%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81%52.19%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.84%51.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.55%85.45%
Score Analysis
    Wales 60.04%
    Belarus 15.32%
    Draw 24.62%
WalesDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 16.46%
2-0 @ 13.25%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 4.77%
4-0 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.6%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 60.04%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 6.86%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 2.3%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 15.32%

How you voted: Wales vs Belarus

Wales
84.2%
Draw
10.5%
Belarus
5.3%
95
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Belarus
2-3
Wales
Lisakovich (29' pen.), Sedko (30')
Chernik (4'), Bykov (11'), Kondratjev (85')
Bale (5' pen., 69', 90+3')
Gunter (27')
Sep 9, 2019 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Wales
1-0
Belarus
James (17')

Zolotov (57')
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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