Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
