Carrick

2 - 3

Larne

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.