MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 13:14:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
0 - 1
Larne


Cherry (48'), Cushley (67'), McGuckin (70'), McKiernan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gordon (79')
Randall (24')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Larne
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
18.82% (-2.458 -2.46) 22.58% (-1.379 -1.38) 58.6% (3.846 3.85)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.429 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (2.515 2.52)47.6% (-2.507 -2.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (2.28 2.28)69.8% (-2.272 -2.27)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (-1.159 -1.16)39.25% (1.167 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (-1.104 -1.1)75.96% (1.112 1.11)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (2.274 2.27)15.92% (-2.266 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83% (4.016 4.02)45.17% (-4.009 -4.01)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 18.82%
    Larne 58.59%
    Draw 22.57%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 5.84% (-0.842 -0.84)
2-1 @ 5.02% (-0.479 -0.48)
2-0 @ 2.73% (-0.495 -0.5)
3-1 @ 1.57% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.82%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.678 -0.68)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 11.48% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 10.55% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.46% (0.746 0.75)
1-3 @ 6.04% (0.525 0.52)
0-4 @ 2.97% (0.533 0.53)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.78% (0.425 0.43)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.163 0.16)
0-5 @ 1.09% (0.26 0.26)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.219 0.22)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.59%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Larne
Carson (14')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
Lynch (38')
(33'), Hughes (62'), (84'), (88')
Bolger (9'), Scott (85')
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Larne
0-0
Carrick

Oluwya (38'), Mitchell (65')

Surgenor (65')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Larne
3-0
Carrick
Lynch (14', 37'), Mitchell (35' pen.)
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Loughran (18' pen.)
Loughran (50'), Chapman (65')
Mitchell (11' pen.), Herron (34'), McKendry (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield96211951420
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena106041512318
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon10523138517
4LarneLarne742193614
5CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
6GlentoranGlentoran1042488014
7CrusadersCrusaders841397213
8ColeraineColeraine93421312113
9PortadownPortadown93331311212
10GlenavonGlenavon10244813-510
11Loughgall10127926-175
12Carrick RangersCarrick9108721-143


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