NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Carrick0 - 1Larne
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.
Result | ||
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
18.82% ( -2.46) | 22.58% ( -1.38) | 58.6% ( 3.85) |
Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% ( 2.52) | 47.6% ( -2.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% ( 2.28) | 69.8% ( -2.27) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.75% ( -1.16) | 39.25% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.04% ( -1.1) | 75.96% ( 1.11) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.09% ( 2.27) | 15.92% ( -2.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.83% ( 4.02) | 45.17% ( -4.01) |
Score Analysis |
Carrick Rangers 18.82%
Larne 58.59%
Draw 22.57%
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.84) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.82% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.68) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 10.55% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 6.46% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.52) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.43) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.16) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.26) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.59% |
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Larne
Carson (14')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
Ervin (50')
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
(45'), (48'), (74')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Larne
3-0
Carrick
Lynch (14', 37'), Mitchell (35' pen.)
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Loughran (18' pen.)
Loughran (50'), Chapman (65')
Loughran (50'), Chapman (65')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-27 03:23:51
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | LinfieldLinfield | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 57 |
2 | GlentoranGlentoran | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 41 |
3 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
4 | PortadownPortadown | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 37 |
6 | LarneLarne | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 35 |
7 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 32 |
9 | ColeraineColeraine | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 31 |
10 | GlenavonGlenavon | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
11 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 22 |
12 | Loughgall | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 13 |
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