MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 13:09:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
1 - 0
Ballymena

Macuilaitis (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (43')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Carrick
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Portadown
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawBallymena United
48.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.92% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.93% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 57.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.24%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)49.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 48.16%
    Ballymena United 27.93%
    Draw 23.91%
Carrick RangersDrawBallymena United
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 27.93%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Carrick
0-2
Ballymena
Wilson (73'), Graham (87')
Whiteside (40')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Carrick
Cushley (52')
Ervin (12')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
3-0
Carrick
Parkhouse (6'), Surgenor (8' og.), Millar (25')
Strain (43')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
3-0
Ballymena
Cushley (40', 65' pen.), Kelly (78')
Gawne (73')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Carrick

Redman (36'), (71'), (80')
Redman (62')
Gibson (70')
Gibson (83'), Gawne (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield96211951420
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena106041512318
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon10523138517
4LarneLarne742193614
5CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
6GlentoranGlentoran1042488014
7CrusadersCrusaders841397213
8ColeraineColeraine93421312113
9PortadownPortadown93331311212
10GlenavonGlenavon10244813-510
11Loughgall10127926-175
12Carrick RangersCarrick9108721-143


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