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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 0
Linfield

Forsythe (6'), Lowry (59')
Lowry (42'), Winchester (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Palmer (65'), Shields (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLinfield
44.89% (1.375 1.38) 26.27% (-0.579 -0.58) 28.85% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.304 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (1.887 1.89)53.28% (-1.885 -1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (1.578 1.58)74.83% (-1.576 -1.58)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (1.513 1.51)23.65% (-1.51 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (2.133 2.13)57.74% (-2.13 -2.13)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.393 0.39)33.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.431 0.43)69.86% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 44.88%
    Linfield 28.85%
    Draw 26.26%
CrusadersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.287 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.166 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.601 -0.6)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Lowry (59'), Forsythe (82')
Cooper (47')
Cooper (39')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Forsythe (45')
Callacher (35'), Devine (70')
Vertainen (51'), (85')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Linfield
3-2
Crusaders
McKee (20'), Shields (45+1' pen.), Devine (90+4')
(58'), Shields (82')
McMurray (25'), Kennedy (59' pen.)
(45'), (45+3')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Heatley (51'), Kennedy (83')
McMurray (25'), Caddell (64'), Robinson (73')
Manzinga (42')
Manzinga (62'), Stewart (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield31224556233370
2LarneLarne30157837251252
3GlentoranGlentoran29156835251051
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon30144124136546
5CrusadersCrusaders31144133942-346
6PortadownPortadown31136123836245
7ColeraineColeraine30128104538744
8CliftonvilleCliftonville29126113932742
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena31124153840-240
10GlenavonGlenavon30108123237-538
11Carrick RangersCarrick3158182447-2323
12Loughgall3135232669-4314


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