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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 3
Crusaders

FT(HT: 0-2)
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
Clarke (15')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-0 Carrick
Monday, December 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Cliftonville
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
29.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 25.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 45.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)49.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.004999999999999 0)71.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.81% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)67.09% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 29.31%
    Crusaders 45.35%
    Draw 25.33%
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.31%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.68%
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.35%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Carrick
4-3
Crusaders
Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
Larmour (64')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
Lecky (63' og.)
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-0
Carrick

O'Rourke (28'), Heatley (56'), Caddell (58')

Cushley (51'), Gordon (57'), Cherry (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
0-2
Crusaders

Anderson (51'), Kelly (53'), Cushley (55'), Surgenor (58'), Ervin (86')
Heatley (69'), Kennedy (75')
(29')
Apr 6, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Crusaders
Friel (64')
Cherry (67'), Friel (90')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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