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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Cliftonville

Turner (15'), Heatley (36'), Owens (86')
Lecky (54'), Joe Burns (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McDonagh (29'), Ives (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 2-0 Crusaders
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-0 Glentoran
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCliftonville
53.2% (0.896 0.9) 23.55% (-0.527 -0.53) 23.25% (-0.369 -0.37)
Both teams to score 54.51% (1.249 1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.76% (1.868 1.87)46.24% (-1.868 -1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (1.737 1.74)68.53% (-1.738 -1.74)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (1.033 1.03)17.33% (-1.032 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (1.779 1.78)47.7% (-1.779 -1.78)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (0.697 0.7)34.06% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.744 0.74)70.75% (-0.744 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 53.2%
    Cliftonville 23.25%
    Draw 23.55%
CrusadersDrawCliftonville
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.232 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.18 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.181 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.127 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 23.25%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
3-3
Cliftonville
Joe Burns (57'), Kennedy (63'), Forsythe (73')
(87')
Coates (31'), Curran (75', 80')
Coates (59')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Cliftonville
3-1
Crusaders
Addis (13'), Curran (45+1'), Ives (79')
Kearns (65')
Robinson (42')
Heatley (30'), Lowry (70'), O'Rourke (76')
Caddell (27')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Cliftonville
0-2
Crusaders

Curran (57'), McDonagh (79')
Heatley (43'), Kennedy (63')
Lowry (57'), Caddell (66')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
1-1
Cliftonville
Forsythe (62')
O'Rourke (65'), Joe Burns (87')
Kearns (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield96211951420
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena106041512318
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon10523138517
4LarneLarne742193614
5CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
6GlentoranGlentoran1042488014
7CrusadersCrusaders841397213
8ColeraineColeraine93421312113
9PortadownPortadown93331311212
10GlenavonGlenavon10244813-510
11Loughgall10127926-175
12Carrick RangersCarrick9108721-143


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