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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
3 - 0
Ballymena

Vertainen (16', 36', 46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-6 Linfield
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 2-0 Dungannon
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 71.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.55%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawBallymena United
71.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 18.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 10.44% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.87% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)45.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)68.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.48% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)11.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.59% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)36.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)50.42% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)84.95% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 71.4%
    Ballymena United 10.44%
    Draw 18.16%
LinfieldDrawBallymena United
2-0 @ 13.56%
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 71.4%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.16%
0-1 @ 3.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 10.44%

How you voted: Linfield vs Ballymena

Linfield
100%
Draw
0.0%
Ballymena United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Ballymena
0-2
Linfield

O'Neill (87')
McKee (28'), Callacher (51')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
0-4
Linfield

Henderson (7'), Graham (34'), (59')
Cooper (39'), Millar (45'), Shields (59' pen.), McDaid (62')
Clarke (12')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Ballymena
0-2
Linfield

Graham (72')
McCullough (35' og.), Shields (73' pen.)
Mulgrew (67')
Manzinga (39')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Linfield
1-0
Ballymena
Manzinga (15')
Mulgrew (81')

Rodgers (24')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Linfield
1-0
Ballymena
Manzinga (77')
Newberry (29'), Palmer (85')

Redman (19'), Wilson (35'), Kane (54')
rhs 2.0
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