Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
