MX23RW : Friday, March 28 09:03:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
4 - 1
Crusaders

Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Bolger (48'), Gordon (82')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Lowry (90+2')
Barr (63')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Larne
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Crusaders
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawCrusaders
45.69% (1.775 1.78) 26.4% (-0.154 -0.15) 27.91% (-1.619 -1.62)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (-0.196 -0.2)54.28% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (-0.164 -0.16)75.67% (0.166 0.17)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.773 0.77)23.7% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (1.102 1.1)57.82% (-1.099 -1.1)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-1.345 -1.35)34.5% (1.347 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (-1.459 -1.46)71.22% (1.461 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Larne 45.69%
    Crusaders 27.91%
    Draw 26.39%
LarneDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.436 0.44)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.91%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Larne
1-0
Crusaders
Lynch (77')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')

Wilson (12'), Joe Burns (28'), Heatley (52')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
1-0
Larne
Lecky (16')
McMurray (13'), Joe Burns (13'), Robinson (61'), Lecky (72'), Larmour (73')

Mitchell (13'), Bolger (61'), Randall (66'), McDaid (73'), Cosgrove (88'), Hughes (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
2PortadownPortadown33137133938146
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
4GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
5Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
6Loughgall3346232971-4218
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!