NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park
Larne4 - 1Crusaders
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Larne
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Crusaders
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
Result | ||
Larne | Draw | Crusaders |
45.69% ( 1.78) | 26.4% ( -0.15) | 27.91% ( -1.62) |
Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.72% ( -0.2) | 54.28% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.33% ( -0.16) | 75.67% ( 0.17) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% ( 0.77) | 23.7% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.18% ( 1.1) | 57.82% ( -1.1) |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.5% ( -1.35) | 34.5% ( 1.35) |