Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Larne had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Linfield in this match.