Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Larne had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Larne win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Gallen in this match.