Portadown

3 - 1

Carrick

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.