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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 33
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Carrick

Clarke (66'), Owens (80'), Caddell (87')
Forsythe (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cherry (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 2-2 Crusaders
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-4 Glentoran
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
70.99%17.77%11.24%
Both teams to score 47.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08%41.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68%64.32%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46%10.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.74%34.26%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.61%46.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98%82.02%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 70.98%
    Carrick Rangers 11.24%
    Draw 17.77%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 12.37%
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 7.13%
4-0 @ 5.22%
4-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.74%
5-0 @ 2.35%
5-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 70.98%
1-1 @ 8.45%
0-0 @ 4.89%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 17.77%
0-1 @ 3.76%
1-2 @ 3.25%
0-2 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 11.24%

Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Carrick
0-3
Crusaders
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
Clarke (15')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Carrick
4-3
Crusaders
Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
Larmour (64')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
Lecky (63' og.)
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-0
Carrick

O'Rourke (28'), Heatley (56'), Caddell (58')

Cushley (51'), Gordon (57'), Cherry (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
0-2
Crusaders

Anderson (51'), Kelly (53'), Cushley (55'), Surgenor (58'), Ervin (86')
Heatley (69'), Kennedy (75')
(29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811


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