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Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2022 at 6pm UK
Mata Real
Porto

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 4
Porto

Delgado (31'), Gaitan (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pepe (17'), Evanilson (38', 52'), Taremi (59')
Vitinha (49'), Uribe (72')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. Porto - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Primeira Liga leaders Porto will seek to take another step towards glory when they visit Estadio da Capital do Movel on Sunday to face off against Pacos de Ferreira.

Meanwhile, the home side are looking to pick up three consecutive wins for the first time this season and exact revenge for a 2-1 defeat in October's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Pacos de Ferreira's Denilson Pereira Junior is shown a red card by referee Vitor Ferreira on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Pacos de Ferreira made it two wins from two as they saw off the threat of Belenenses in a comfortable 2-0 triumph at the Estadio Nacional do Jamor on Friday.

Denilson's penalty on the stroke of half time set Cesar Peixoto's men on their way to all three points before Helder Ferreira made sure of the result just past the hour mark.

As a result, the Beavers have now moved to 10th place in the Primeira Liga standings and are now seven points clear of the relegation zone with 10 matches left to play.

Only three teams in the entire division have scored fewer goals on home turf than Pacos de Ferreira who have managed just 14 points from 12 home games this season.

Porto's Mateus Uribe celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 24, 2022© Reuters

On the other hand, Porto are now 90 minutes away from reaching the Taca de Portugal final following a 2-1 first-leg victory over Sporting Lisbon at the Estadio Jose Alvalade last Wednesday.

Sergio Conceicao's men trailed to Pablo Sarabia's 49th-minute strike before hitting back and turning the tie on its head through quick-fire goals from Mehdi Taremi and Evanilson.

Prior to that, the Dragoes were held to a 1-1 draw by Gil Vicente last Sunday but their six-point lead at the top of the league standings remains intact.

Porto will feel confident of coming away with the desired result on Sunday as next up is a clash against an opposing side who have lost five of the last six meetings between the teams dating back to 2019.

With a mouth-watering Europa League clash versus Lyon on the horizon, a victory this weekend would do the world of good for Sunday's visitors heading into their continental commitment.

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Porto Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Porto form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W


Team News

Porto coach Sergio Conceicao reacts on February 24, 2022© Reuters

Otavio and Pepe had to make do with cameo appearances in midweek but both players are expected to be recalled to the starting XI for this one.

Following his winner in the aforementioned game, Evanilson has now scored three times in his last four matches and is one to keep an eye on.

Defender Wilson Manafa is set to continue his lengthy spell on the sidelines due to a leg injury which he picked up last December.

Ndri Koffi remains ruled out with a muscle injury and the Frenchman is joined on Pacos' treatment table by Jorge Silva and Flavio.

Twenty-six-year-old Joao Vigario still awaits his first outing of the current campaign as he is currently nursing a knee problem.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Ferreira; Antunes, Maracas, Baixinho, Delgado; Carlos, Pires; Silva, Uilton, Santos; Denilson

Porto possible starting lineup:
D Costa; B Costa, Pepe, Mbemba, Sanusi; Vitinha, Uribe, Otavio, Pepe; Evanilson, Martinez


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Porto

Porto are still yet to taste defeat in league action this term, highlighting how solid they have been at both ends of the pitch. We fancy them to come away with all three points at the sound of the final whistle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Porto

Pacos de Ferreira
7.4%
Draw
7.4%
Porto
85.2%
27
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Gil Vicente's Samuel Lino celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 2, 2022
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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