Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Cracovia2 - 4Jagiellonia
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wdowik (7'), Normann Hansen (9', 49'), Marczuk (55')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Cracovia
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-0 Legia
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, October 1 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
KS Cracovia | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
44.19% ( 1.1) | 26.42% ( -0.05) | 29.4% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.22) | 53.62% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.19) | 75.12% ( 0.19) |
KS Cracovia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.45) | 24.13% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( 0.63) | 58.44% ( -0.63) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.99% ( -0.88) | 33.01% ( 0.88) |