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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 2
Radomiak Radom

Imaz (27'), Naranjo (45+8'), Pululu (46')
Nene (32'), Kupisz (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Henrique (3', 12')
Raphael (32'), Cestor (34'), Machado (55'), Kaput (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 3 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, September 2 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRadomiak Radom
40.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 25.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 33.5% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.28% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)24.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (0.031999999999996 0.03)58.92% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.048000000000002 0.05)28.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (0.056000000000004 0.06)64.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.56%
    Radomiak Radom 33.5%
    Draw 25.93%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRadomiak Radom
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.56%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.5%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan15111330121834
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1510232821732
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow159421961331
4KS CracoviaCracovia159243324929
5Legia WarsawLegia157442819925
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin157172120122
7Widzew Lodz156452019122
8Gornik ZabrzeGornik156361917221
9Motor Lublin156362227-521
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice155551817120
11Katowice155462422219
12Zaglebie Lubin155371421-718
13Radomiak Radom145181921-216
14Korona Kielce154471222-1016
15Stal Mielec154381419-515
16Lechia GdanskGdansk152581728-1111
17Puszcza Niepolomice152581325-1211
18Slask Wroclaw141671122-119


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