MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 21:18:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 13, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
1 - 2
Lech Poznan

Krol (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Walemark (15'), Ishak (37')
Jagiello (53')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Motor Lublin
Saturday, April 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, April 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lech Poznan in this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawLech Poznan
31.97% (-0.189 -0.19) 24.64% (0.205 0.21) 43.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.87% (-0.787 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97% (-0.996 -1)45.03% (1.006 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (-0.964 -0.96)67.38% (0.97499999999999 0.97)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (-0.60300000000001 -0.6)26.9% (0.614 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78% (-0.803 -0.8)62.22% (0.814 0.81)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)20.84% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (-0.661 -0.66)53.52% (0.67 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 31.97%
    Lech Poznan 43.38%
    Draw 24.64%
Motor LublinDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.97%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.239 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.264 0.26)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 43.38%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 11
Lech Poznan
1-2
Motor Lublin
Ishak (24')
Mraz (26', 54')
Krol (43'), Stolarski (44'), Rudol (66'), Palacz (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Rakow CzestochowaRakow30188445192662
2Lech Poznan29192854262859
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia29167650351555
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin30165952341853
5Legia WarsawLegia30148855391650
6KS CracoviaCracovia3012995247545
7Motor Lublin30127114350-743
8Katowice30126124140142
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik29125123935441
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice30911103134-338
11Korona Kielce29910102838-1037
12Widzew Lodz29106133443-936
13Radomiak Radom29105144045-535
14Zaglebie Lubin2995152742-1532
15Lechia GdanskGdansk3086163451-1730
16Puszcza Niepolomice3069153349-1627
17Slask Wroclaw30510153348-1525
18Stal Mielec2967163046-1625


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