Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24
Mar 8, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan
Lech Poznan3 - 1Stal Mielec
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dadok (41')
Senger (50'), Jaunzems (90+2')
Senger (50'), Jaunzems (90+2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Stal Mielec.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Szczecin 0-3 Lech Poznan
Saturday, March 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, March 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Korona Kielce
Saturday, March 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, March 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Stal Mielec |
61.2% ( 0.12) | 21.42% ( -0.06) | 17.37% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
