MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:08:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 22
Feb 24, 2025 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
3 - 2
Katowice

Ceglarz (15'), van Hoeven (21'), Mraz (57')
van Hoeven (28'), Wojcik (73'), Stolarski (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bergier (8'), Galan (51')
Kuusk (18'), Galan (88'), Szymczak (90')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Katowice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Katowice 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, February 16 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Katowice had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Katowice win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motor Lublin would win this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawKatowice
54.13% (-0.34 -0.34) 23.5% (0.188 0.19) 22.38% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.56% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.634 -0.63)46.97% (0.632 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.594 -0.59)69.21% (0.592 0.59)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)17.26% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.625 -0.63)47.58% (0.623 0.62)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.74% (-0.211 -0.21)35.27% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.98% (-0.219 -0.22)72.02% (0.218 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 54.12%
    Katowice 22.38%
    Draw 23.49%
Motor LublinDrawKatowice
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 54.12%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Motor Lublin vs Katowice

Motor Lublin
100%
Draw
0.0%
Katowice
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Katowice
0-0
Motor Lublin
Rogala (12'), Galan (65'), Kuusk (84')
Kubica (45+5'), Bartos (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan24162646192750
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow24147334142049
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia24146445291648
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin24124836261040
5Legia WarsawLegia23116643291439
6KS CracoviaCracovia2410864234838
7Gornik ZabrzeGornik2411493229337
8Motor Lublin2310583237-535
9Katowice249693330333
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice248972524133
11Korona Kielce248882330-732
12Radomiak Radom2484123238-628
13Widzew Lodz2476112739-1227
14Stal Mielec2465132534-923
15Puszcza Niepolomice2457122234-1222
16Zaglebie Lubin2464142037-1722
17Lechia GdanskGdansk2456132542-1721
18Slask Wroclaw2429132138-1715


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!