MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 11:07:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
5 - 2
Stal Mielec

Matuszewski (7'), Zreľak (38', 46', 71'), Szymonowicz (49')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jaunzems (17'), Shkurin (45+1')
Pingot (48')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-0 Korona Kielce
Friday, April 12 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawStal Mielec
45.89% (-0.189 -0.19) 28.04% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 26.07% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 44.18% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (-0.184 -0.18)61.08% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94% (-0.139 -0.14)81.05% (0.136 0.14)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.182 -0.18)26.65% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.24 -0.24)61.9% (0.237 0.24)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 45.88%
    Stal Mielec 26.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Warta PoznanDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 14.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.88%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Warta Poznan vs Stal Mielec

Warta Poznan
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Stal Mielec
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Stal Mielec
0-1
Warta Poznan

Domanski (22'), Ehmann (70')
Luis (75')
Zurawski (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan15111330121834
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1610333023733
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow159421961331
4KS CracoviaCracovia159243324929
5Legia WarsawLegia157442819925
6Motor Lublin167362428-424
7Pogon SzczecinSzczecin157172120122
8Widzew Lodz156452019122
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik156361917221
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice155551817120
11Katowice155462422219
12Zaglebie Lubin165381523-818
13Radomiak Radom145181921-216
14Korona Kielce154471222-1016
15Stal Mielec154381419-515
16Lechia GdanskGdansk152581728-1111
17Puszcza Niepolomice152581325-1211
18Slask Wroclaw151771324-1110


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