MX23RW : Monday, December 23 20:11:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
5 - 2
Stal Mielec

Matuszewski (7'), Zreľak (38', 46', 71'), Szymonowicz (49')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jaunzems (17'), Shkurin (45+1')
Pingot (48')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-0 Korona Kielce
Friday, April 12 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawStal Mielec
45.89% (-0.189 -0.19) 28.04% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 26.07% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 44.18% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (-0.184 -0.18)61.08% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94% (-0.139 -0.14)81.05% (0.136 0.14)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.182 -0.18)26.65% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.24 -0.24)61.9% (0.237 0.24)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 45.88%
    Stal Mielec 26.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Warta PoznanDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 14.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.88%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Warta Poznan vs Stal Mielec

Warta Poznan
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Stal Mielec
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Stal Mielec
0-1
Warta Poznan

Domanski (22'), Ehmann (70')
Luis (75')
Zurawski (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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