Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.

Result
Warta Poznan	Draw	Stal Mielec
45.89% ( -0.19)	28.04% ( 0.07)	26.07% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 44.18% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.92% (

-0.18)

61.08% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.94% (

-0.14)

81.05% (

0.14)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

-0.18)

26.65% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

-0.24)

61.9% (

0.24)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24% (

-0)

39.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

-0.01)

76.43% (

Score Analysis

Warta Poznan 45.88%

Stal Mielec 26.07%

Draw 28.03%

Warta Poznan	Draw	Stal Mielec
1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 45.88%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 26.07%