Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-23s had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.97%) and 0-1 (6.77%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
