Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.21%) and 2-3 (4.91%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.