Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.