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Premier League 2 - Div 2
Jan 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Forest U21s
7 - 2
Derby U21s

Powell (9', 32'), Konate (35', 45+1'), Hammond (58'), Larsson (82')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Ibrahim (16'), Aghatise (30')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Nottingham Forest Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke U21s 1-2 Forest U21s
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Saints U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
56.91% (-0.51 -0.51) 21.13% (0.19 0.19) 21.95% (0.323 0.32)
Both teams to score 61.11% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.28% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)36.72% (0.477 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.11% (-0.52 -0.52)58.89% (0.522 0.52)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)12.82% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.85% (-0.622 -0.62)39.15% (0.624 0.62)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09% (0.013999999999996 0.01)29.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)66.01% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 56.91%
    Derby County Under-21s 21.95%
    Draw 21.13%
Nottingham Forest Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 56.91%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 21.95%

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