MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 03:03:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Nov 7, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Weaver Stadium

Stoke U21s
4 - 0
Derby U21s

Tezgel (4', 13'), Lowe (64'), McGuinness (87')
Adebambo (32'), Roney (38'), Baker (67'), Sparrow (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kavanagh (79'), Brailsford (83')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Stoke City Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: WBA U21s 4-0 Stoke U21s
Monday, October 31 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Derby U21s 0-2 Aston Villa U21s
Saturday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 59.98%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 20.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Stoke City Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
59.98% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 19.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 20.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.5% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.85% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)30.15% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.63% (-0.125 -0.13)51.37% (0.127 0.13)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.05% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03)9.95% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.08% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)32.91% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)27.26% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)62.69% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City Under-21s 59.98%
    Derby County Under-21s 20.61%
    Draw 19.41%
Stoke City Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 59.98%
1-1 @ 8.14% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.41%
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.53% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 20.61%

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