MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 02:56:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 29, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
 

Derby U21s
0 - 2
Aston Villa U21s

FT(HT: 0-1)
Afoka (11'), Firth (63')
Smith (74')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby U21s 0-1 Forest U21s
Monday, October 10 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-1 Forest U21s
Friday, October 21 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.03% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
21.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 60.33% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 69.35% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.38% (0.070999999999998 0.07)25.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.28% (0.092999999999996 0.09)45.72% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.040000000000006 0.04)24.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.056999999999995 0.06)58.5% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)8.54% (-0.0251 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.45% (0.061000000000007 0.06)29.55% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 21.03%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 60.33%
    Draw 18.64%
Derby County Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.004 0)
1-0 @ 2.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.42%
2-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 21.03%
1-1 @ 7.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.64%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 5.17% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 2.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 60.33%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!