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Premier League
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Chelsea logo

Aston Villa
0 - 2
Chelsea

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mount (6', 65')
Chilwell (33'), Koulibaly (61'), Mount (83')

The Match

Team News

Head coach Graham Potter again makes changes to his Chelsea XI for Sunday's Premier League fixture at Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Sunday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League

Chelsea

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Chelsea

 Under pressure to deliver a victory which would buy him more time in the Villa dugout, we expect Villa to produce an attack-minded performance in order to repel Chelsea. Nevertheless, the Blues are clear favourites for a reason, and the visitors should do enough to edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
19.9% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 23.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 56.46% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)50.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)72.38% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27%39.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6%76.4% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.32% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 19.9%
    Chelsea 56.45%
    Draw 23.63%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.9%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 12.17%
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-3 @ 6.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.45%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa
12.9%
Draw
10.5%
Chelsea
76.6%
295
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3'), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
 Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties
Werner (54')
Sarr (31'), James (90+2')
Archer (64')
Young (86')
> Match Report
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Lukaku (15', 90+3'), Kovacic (49')
Alonso (61')

Ramsey (8'), Mings (28'), McGinn (90'), Targett (90')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Traore (43'), El Ghazi (52' pen.)
McGinn (65'), Nakamba (74'), Martinez (81')
Chilwell (70')
Jorginho (45'), Werner (45+2'), Kovacic (49'), Arrizabalaga (90+5')
Azpilicueta (89')
Dec 28, 2020 5.30pm
Chelsea
1-1
Aston Villa
Giroud (34')
Azpilicueta (45+2'), Giroud (71'), Kante (74')
El Ghazi (50')
El Ghazi (71')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool119112161528
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