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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Elland Road
Aston Villa logo

Leeds
0 - 0
Aston Villa


Sinisterra (26'), Roca (35'), Rodrigo (39'), Koch (83')
Sinisterra (48')
FT

Augustinsson (6'), Bailey (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 5-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Aston Villa

 Elland Road has been a happy hunting ground for Aston Villa in recent memory, but with Gerrard's side particularly short in the full-back areas and known for their shortcomings away from home, Sunday's trip may not be a pleasant one. In contrast, Leeds have reserved their best performances for Elland Road and have had over a month to recover from the 5-2 thrashing at Brentford, which has also benefited their injured crop, and we have faith in the Whites to return to winning ways as Marsch watches on from afar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
42.7% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 25.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)48.26% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.023 0.02)70.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (0.040000000000006 0.04)64.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.7%
    Aston Villa 31.93%
    Draw 25.36%
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Leeds vs Aston Villa

Leeds United
60.1%
Draw
17.8%
Aston Villa
22.0%
286
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 5.35am
Aston Villa
1-0
Leeds
Ings (63' pen.)
McGinn (70')

Gray (67')
Mar 10, 2022 7.45pm
Leeds
0-3
Aston Villa

Koch (45+1'), Gelhardt (67'), Firpo (81'), James (86'), Raphinha (90+2')
Coutinho (22'), Cash (65'), Chambers (73')
Watkins (17'), Mings (47'), Luiz (62')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Aston Villa
3-3
Leeds
Coutinho (30'), Ramsey (38', 43')
Konsa (70'), Cash (90')
Konsa (87')
James (9', 45+2'), Llorente (63')
Dallas (45'), James (80'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Leeds
0-1
Aston Villa

Roberts (61'), Klich (63'), Hernandez (84')
El Ghazi (5')
Targett (61'), Elmohamady (80')
> Match Report
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
Aston Villa
0-3
Leeds

Mings (53'), Grealish (69')
Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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