Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 10

Oct 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Dennis (15')
Aurier (18'), Cook (27'), Yates (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Young (22')
Konsa (45'), McGinn (50'), Ramsey (75')

Steven Gerrard: 'Aston Villa need big players to step up'

Steven Gerrard calls for Aston Villa's 'big players to step up' after witnessing his side held to a 1-1 draw at Nottingham Forest on Monday night.

Oct 10, 23:09

Nottingham Forest boss Steve Cooper on October 10, 2022

Steve Cooper: 'Nottingham Forest must take positives from Aston Villa draw'

Head coach Steve Cooper insists that Nottingham Forest must take the positives from earning a 1-1 draw at home to Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Oct 10, 22:50

Nottingham Forest's Emmanuel Dennis celebrates scoring against Aston Villa on October 10, 2022

Nottingham Forest off bottom of Premier League table with point against Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest move off the bottom of the Premier League table courtesy of a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa.

Oct 10, 21:50

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Nott'm Forest
Monday, October 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa

There will be an air of positivity at the City Ground after Cooper renewed his contract, but that will not necessarily act as the catalyst for improved performances on the pitch. Villa and Gerrard also need a result in the East Midlands, leading us to predict a competitive low-scoring draw being played out between two struggling sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Aston Villa
30.14% ( 1.63)	25.45% ( 0.18)	44.41% ( -1.8)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69% (

0.08)

49.31% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63% (

0.07)

71.36% (

-0.07)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74% (

1.22)

30.26% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

1.43)

66.42% (

-1.43)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

-0.79)

22.17% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

-1.2)

55.56% (

1.2)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 30.14%

Aston Villa 44.41%

Draw 25.44%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.14%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.41%