Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.