Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.