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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Turf Moor
Brighton logo

Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton

Wood (44')
Brownhill (5'), Bardsley (85'), Pieters (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bissouma (20'), Connolly (50')

The Match

Match Report

Connolly's strike five minutes after the break settled it.

Team News

Charlie Taylor, Matt Lowton, Jack Cork, Ashley Barnes and Ben Mee are all sidelined.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
34.66%26.45%38.89%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75%52.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05%73.95%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.38%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 34.66%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 38.89%
    Draw 26.45%
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.89%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
1-3
Burnley
Duffy (76')
Ryan (72')
Wood (26', 61'), Barnes (74' pen.)
Westwood (76')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Burnley
1-0
Brighton
Tarkowski (40')
Tarkowski (86'), Bardsley (90')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Brighton
0-0
Burnley
March (68'), Stephens (77'), Dunk (87'), Duffy (93')
Taylor (48'), Barnes (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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