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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Arsenal logo

Leeds
0 - 1
Arsenal

FT(HT: 0-1)
Saka (35')
Saliba (62'), Magalhaes (90+5')

The Match

Team News

Gabriel Jesus and Takehiro Tomiyasu both start for Arsenal in Sunday's Premier League clash with Leeds United at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Leeds United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Leeds
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Arsenal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Leeds United 0-2 Arsenal

Leeds have proven to be a tough nut to crack at Elland Road this term and will welcome Sinisterra back to the fold with open arms, but the absence of a killer instinct is set to cost them dear against a rampant Arsenal. Arteta went stronger than expected in midweek, but a plethora of star names have still been well-rested, and the Gunners should not relinquish their grip on top spot just yet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawArsenal
19.41% (0.221 0.22) 21.93% (0.543 0.54) 58.65% (-0.76 -0.76)
Both teams to score 54.21% (-1.446 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-2.1 -2.1)43.93% (2.103 2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-2.081 -2.08)66.31% (2.085 2.09)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (-0.989 -0.99)36.47% (0.992 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (-1.014 -1.01)73.26% (1.015 1.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34% (-0.926 -0.93)14.65% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-1.812 -1.81)42.79% (1.815 1.82)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 19.41%
    Arsenal 58.65%
    Draw 21.93%
Leeds UnitedDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.345 0.35)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.475 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.93%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.589 0.59)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.86% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 6.36% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-3 @ 6.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.06% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 58.65%

How you voted: Leeds vs Arsenal

Leeds United
14.8%
Draw
5.6%
Arsenal
79.6%
304
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 2pm
Arsenal
2-1
Leeds
Nketiah (5', 10')
Magalhaes (16'), Tomiyasu (64')
Llorente (66')
Raphinha (27'), Klich (34')
Ayling (27')
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Leeds
1-4
Arsenal
Raphinha (75' pen.)
Gelhardt (53'), Dallas (56'), Koch (88')
Martinelli (16', 28'), Saka (42'), Smith Rowe (84')
Xhaka (86')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 14, 2021 4.30pm
Arsenal
4-2
Leeds
Aubameyang (13', 41' pen., 47'), Bellerin (45')
Struijk (58'), Costa (69')
Struijk (70'), Dallas (90+6')
Nov 22, 2020 4.30pm
Leeds
0-0
Arsenal

Dallas (15'), Cooper (86'), Phillips (90+3')

Pepe (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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