Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.