Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.