Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match.