Crystal Palace

3 - 2

Aston Villa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.