Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
2 - 4
Man City

Mateta (4'), Edouard (86')
Mateta (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

De Bruyne (13', 70'), Lewis (47'), Haaland (66')
Gvardiol (45+2')

Watch: Kevin De Bruyne goal vs. Crystal Palace as Manchester City captain scores stunning equaliser

Watch Kevin De Bruyne's stunning goal against Crystal Palace as the Manchester City captain equalises with a brilliant strike at Selhurst Park.

Apr 6, 13:00

Manchester City's Josko Gvardiol pictured on December 16, 2023

Manchester City hit by fresh defensive blow ahead of Real Madrid clash

Manchester City centre-back Josko Gvardiol suffers an injury during his side's Premier League contest with Crystal Palace.

Apr 6, 18:09

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates with the trophy after winning the Premier League on May 21, 2023

A closer look at Kevin De Bruyne's 100 goals for Manchester City

After scoring his 100th Manchester City goal on Saturday, Sports Mole takes a closer look at the Belgian's century of strikes across his legendary nine-year career at the Etihad Stadium.

Apr 6, 21:02

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 4-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Manchester City
17.89% ( -0.26)	20.23% ( -0.02)	61.87% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 57.23% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.41% (

-0.35)

38.59% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11% (

-0.37)

60.89% (

0.38)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.03% (

-0.5)

34.97% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28% (

-0.53)

71.71% (

0.53)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88% (

-0.03)

12% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.57% (

-0.06)

37.43% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 17.89%

Manchester City 61.87%

Draw 20.23%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.89%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.23%	1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.01% Total : 61.87%