Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.43%) and 1-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.