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Crystal Palace logo
Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Southampton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Southampton

Edouard (38')
Zaha (31'), Edouard (61'), Mitchell (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lyanco (31'), Salisu (40'), Elyounoussi (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton

 Given Palace's prowess at Selhurst Park and Southampton's struggles on the road, a home win seems the likeliest outcome on Saturday. A certain amount of frustration carried over from their loss last week should see the hosts start on the front foot, with unstinting support from the stands helping them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
46.1% (-0.117 -0.12) 26.2% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 27.7% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)53.63% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.096 -0.1)75.13% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)23.22% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (-0.151 -0.15)57.13% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 46.09%
    Southampton 27.7%
    Draw 26.2%
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.09%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.7%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Crystal Palace
69.0%
Draw
20.3%
Southampton
10.8%
158
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Romeu (9')
Bednarek (16')
Eze (60'), Zaha (90+2')
Mateta (16'), McArthur (38'), Ward (45+2')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
Zaha (2'), Ayew (65')
Guehi (25'), Tomkins (73')
Ward-Prowse (32'), Broja (36')
Livramento (67'), Salisu (84'), Lyanco (88'), Caballero (90+6')
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Southampton
3-1
Crystal Palace
Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')
Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-0
Southampton
Zaha (13')
Schlupp (41'), McCarthy (58')

Walker-Peters (51')
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
0-2
Southampton
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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